Monday, March 24, 2014

NCI Building Systems Equity Research

A lot of hopes are being pinned on the non-residential construction market in 2014, and major companies such as Johnson Controls, and Caterpillar Inc. are hoping for broad-based strength in the sector. In this regard, it's fascinating to look at a company like NCI Building Systems   and see what its outlook means for the sector.

Why NCI Building Systems matters
It's interesting to contrast Johnson Controls and Caterpillar, because the former gave a cautious outlook for its heating, ventilation and air conditioning, or HVAC, markets in 2014, while the latter predicted its construction machinery sales would rise 5%. Johnson Controls may be conservative with its guidance, because current conditions are affected by the weather, and because HVAC solutions are relatively late stage in a construction project.In other words demand tends to kick in later in the cycle. However, Caterpillar's construction machinery is likely to have a longer-cycle demand and be utilized more in early stage work (excavation, earth moving, and the like). Perhaps this explains the difference in outlook?